Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 8.585619 10.056352 11.666620 13.555656 15.705875 18.071954 20.867216
2025-12-21 5.911442 7.835625 10.169579 13.185301 16.952437 21.474638 27.282594
2025-12-28 4.752156 6.942262 9.817967 13.814867 19.161575 25.994792 35.303181
2026-01-04 3.912368 6.212351 9.441908 14.210677 20.955601 30.018505 42.950201
2026-01-11 3.213752 5.506764 8.927572 14.257453 22.171964 33.274694 49.753559
2026-01-18 2.684534 4.935885 8.486073 14.292024 23.294591 36.410411 56.554338
2026-01-25 2.193365 4.322322 7.865690 13.936102 23.742232 38.543414 62.007715
2026-02-01 1.806903 3.807411 7.313320 13.588607 24.119809 40.542211 67.340862
2026-02-08 1.463440 3.299412 6.687202 13.018793 24.046748 41.793057 71.564383
2026-02-15 1.203664 2.897915 6.182993 12.579519 24.115711 43.230010 76.124175
2026-02-22 1.083510 2.756714 6.137643 12.946772 25.580925 47.014346 84.661888
2026-03-01 0.984357 2.640684 6.121472 13.358074 27.146152 51.054297 93.847474
2026-03-08 0.817959 2.350658 5.738471 13.072453 27.520886 53.268511 100.445786
2026-03-15 0.670224 2.071937 5.338641 12.712727 27.745733 55.288703 106.960011
2026-03-22 0.614170 2.011670 5.406512 13.322458 29.889296 60.890328 120.095977
2026-03-29 0.550343 1.914277 5.372136 13.705932 31.615966 65.848227 132.399318
2026-04-05 0.476524 1.768439 5.196354 13.751250 32.653668 69.586891 142.722015
2026-04-12 0.413113 1.635314 5.027128 13.784748 33.660885 73.325720 153.261005
2026-04-19 0.343348 1.460194 4.716275 13.439877 33.818606 75.415148 160.822460
2026-04-26 0.285402 1.304957 4.427307 13.103206 33.950453 77.446021 168.375316
2026-05-03 0.230310 1.139378 4.074357 12.551219 33.533201 78.322132 173.720997
2026-05-10 0.188283 1.006670 3.788119 12.125755 33.353885 79.657759 180.030199
2026-05-17 0.171664 0.971622 3.793590 12.481458 35.050484 85.037857 194.743989